Tango-Tiger

Levels of coronavirus in the community may have risen over the first 10 days of the third lockdown, a representative sample of people in England suggests.

Swab tests indicate 1.58% had the virus during the period 6-15 January, with the highest level, 2.8%, in London.

The Imperial College London researchers say there "was no strong evidence" of these high infection levels decreasing.

The past few days have seen a clear slowdown in the number of lab-confirmed cases reported daily by the government.

But the Imperial College London researchers say their data is more up to date because it does not rely on those being tested developing symptoms and then waiting to have their infections confirmed by a laboratory.

They admit there is some uncertainty in their data amid a "fast-changing situation" but conclude health services will remain under extreme pressure.

Ministers say the Imperial College London report does not yet reflect the impact of the national lockdown in England.But director of the Imperial College London programme Prof Paul Elliott said the third lockdown was not having the same impact as the first, in April.

Facebook mobility data, which tracks people's movements, suggested a fall in activity at the end of December but a rise at the start of the new year.

And Prof Elliott said everyone should "reduce their mobility as much as we can".

A new, more transmissible variant and the fact larger households and deprived communities were more likely to be affected, may also be factors.

News source: joker123

Immense pressure'
The latest round of results from the React-1 infection survey, which are interim and have not yet been published, are based on swab tests from 143,000 people across England, of which nearly 2,000 were positive for the virus.

It is one source of data used to estimate the UK's reproduction (R) number, along with other surveys, from the Office for National Statistics (ONS) for example, and figures on confirmed cases and hospital admissions.

The researchers hope to recruit people who have been vaccinated to future surveys but added it would be "a large number of weeks or months" before that was possible.